Janine Aron

Senior Research Fellow (INET)

Researchers

Janine Aron is a Senior Research Fellow at the Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, an Associate Member of Nuffield College, Oxford and a Member of the Centre for the Study of African Economies, Department of Economics, Oxford.

For 2018, she has a South African Reserve Bank Fellowship, and will be writing two papers with co-authors in the Financial Stability Department.

Research

Her current research focus is six-fold: completing Gates Foundation-sponsored work on the economics of mobile money, and an Oxford Martin School Policy Paper on Mobile Money (with John Muellbauer (Nuffield College)); writing an Oxford Martin School Policy Paper on Housing Affordability in the UK (with John Muellbauer); forecasting US core inflation and US sectoral inflation (with John Muellbauer); forecasting the predictability of monetary policy under improved central bank policy transparency in South Africa and estimating exchange rate pass-through to the aggregate CPI in South Africa (with Greg Farrell (South African Reserve Bank) and John Muellbauer); analysing price behaviour for the (millions of) micro-prices underlying the CPI in South Africa (with Neil Rankin (Stellenbosch University) and John Muellbauer)); modelling and forecasting inflation in Uganda (with John Muellbauer and Rachel Sebudde (World Bank)).

Selected Publications

Aron, J. 2018. “Mobile Money and the Economy: A Review of the Evidence." World Bank Research Observer (forthcoming).

Aron, J. and J. Muellbauer. 2016. “Modelling and Forecasting UK Mortgage Arrears and Possessions.” Journal of Urban Economics 94: 32–53, July 2016.

Aron, J. and J. Muellbauer. 2014. “Inflation.” in Haroon Bhorat, Alan Hirsch, Ravi Kanbur and Mthuli Ncube (eds.). The Oxford Companion to the Economics of South Africa, Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Aron, J (Guest Editor). 2014. "Introduction to Special Section on Exchange Rate Pass-through in Developing and Emerging Markets." Journal of Development Studies 50 (1): 97-100.

Aron, J., MacDonald, R. and J. Muellbauer. 2014. "Exchange Rate Pass-through in Developing and Emerging Markets: a Survey of Conceptual and Policy Issues, and Empirical Findings." Special Section on Exchange Rate Pass-through, Journal of Development Studies 50 (1): 101-143.

Aron, J., Farrell, G., Muellbauer, J. and Sinclair, P. 2014. "Exchange Rate Pass-through to Import Prices, and Monetary Policy in South Africa." Journal of Development Studies 50 (1): 144-164.

Aron, J, K. Creamer, J. Muellbauer and N. Rankin. 2014. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in South Africa: Evidence from Micro-Data." Journal of Development Studies 50 (1): 165-185.

Aron, J. and J. Muellbauer. 2013. "New methods for forecasting inflation, applied to the USA." Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 75: 637–661.

Aron, J. 2013. 'Growth and Institutions: A Review of the Evidence (World Bank Research Observer 2000).' reprinted in a Special Volume: Institutions and Governance in Developing Countries, ed. Kunal Sen, Vol 1, Chapter 16, Edward Elgar Publishing, October. 978 1 78195 227 6.

Aron, J., Duca, J., J. Muellbauer, K. Murata and A. Murphy. 2012. "Credit, Housing Collateral and Consumption: Evidence from the UK, Japan and the US." Review of Income and Wealth 58 (3): 397–423, September.

Aron, J. and J. Muellbauer. 2012. "Improving forecast accuracy in an emerging economy, South Africa, by means of changing trends, long run restrictions and disaggregation." International Journal of Forecasting 28 (2): 456–476.

Aron, J., B. Kahn and G. Kingdon (eds.) South African Economic Policy Under Democracy, Oxford University Press (12 chapter book) (March, 2009).
(See also: Special issue on South African Economic Policy Under Democracy, Journal of African Economies, Oxford University Press 16 (5):661-667, 2007)

Aron, J., J. Muellbauer and J. Prinsloo. 2008. "Estimating the Balance Sheet of the Personal Sector in an Emerging Market Country: SA, 1975-2005." Chapter 10 in James B. Davies (ed.), Personal Wealth from a Global Perspective, UNU-WIDER Studies in Development Economics, Oxford University Press (October), pages 196-223. (see also Review of Income and Wealth 52 (2): 285-308, June).

More papers can be found at http://ideas.repec.org/e/par29.html.

Publications

CSAE Working Papers