Programme: 'Growth, poverty reduction and human development in Africa' CSAE Conference 2004

Follow links for details of parallel sessions.

Discussants and Chairs: Please note that we are allowing 15-20 minutes for each presentation and 5 minutes for discussant response, which will leave at least half an hour for general discussion.

Key to tracks: (a) - Agrarian; (f) - Firms; (h) - Human capital; (m) - Macro; (p) - Poverty; (r) - Risk

Time

Session

Session Tracks and Titles

Venue

Sunday 21 March

 

 

 

12:00-13:45

Registration

 

Bernard Sunley Building Foyer

14:00-16:00

Session one: Parallel sessions

Growth, and international issues (f)
The economics of HIV/AIDS: Evidence from South Africa (h)
The macroeconomic effects of aid (m)
Poverty and welfare (p)
Shocks and welfare (r)

See session details below

16:00-16:30

Tea

 

Bernard Sunley Building Foyer

16:30-18:30

Session two: Parallel sessions

Agrarian issues (a)
Credit and finance (f)
HIV/AIDS in Africa (h)
Growth and public spending (m)
Rural poverty, isolation, and the environment (p)
Risk and vulnerability (r)

See session details below

19:00-20:30

Dinner

Keynote Speech: "Issues pertaining to health and HIV in sub-Saharan Africa"
Keynote Speaker: Mark Gersovitz, Johns Hopkins University

St Catherine's College Dining Hall

Monday 22 March

 

 

 

08:30-10:30

Session three: Parallel sessions

Panel and time-series analysis of growth (f)
Macroeconomic policy (m)
The measurement of poverty (p)
Crime and insecurity (r)

See session details below

10:00-11:00

Poster Session

 

Bernard Sunley Lecture Theatre

10:30-11:00 Coffee   Bernard Sunley Building Foyer

11:00-13:00

Session four: Parallel sessions

Child labour and welfare (a)
Firms and manufacturing (f)
Access to health care and human capital development (h)
Taxation and decentralization (m)
Poverty dynamics (p)
Insurance, networks, and the family (r)

See session details below

13:05-14:00

Lunch

 

St Catherine's College Dining Hall

14:00-16:00

Session five: Parallel sessions

Spatial issues and international trade (a)
Labour and demographic issues (f)
Access to education (h)
Corruption and governance (m)
Growth and poverty reduction in Ethiopia (p)
Subjective well-being (r)

See session details below

16:00-16:30

Tea

 

Bernard Sunley Building Foyer

16:30-18:30

Panel Session

"Trust, government and markets"
Panel: Jim Robinson, (Berkeley), Tim Besley (LSE), Daniel Kaufman (World Bank), and Marcel Fafchamps (Oxford).

Bernard Sunley Lecture Theatre

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Session One

1(f) Growth and international issues

Venue: Bernard Sunley Lecture Theatre
Chair: S McDonald

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

J Kweka

Tourism and the economy of Tanzania: A CGE analysis

S McDonald

PDF, 224kB

R Burger, S du Plessis

Examining explanations for the African dummy: A BACE approach

JJ Quinn

PDF, 298kB

K Gyimah-Brempong, JA Karikari

How will Africa countries fare under US reforms of international settlement rates?

JJ Quinn

PDF, 363kB

WA Naudé, A Saayman

The determinants of tourist arrivals in Africa: A panel data regression analysis

S McDonald

PDF, 116kB

1(h) The economics of HIV/AIDS: Evidence from South Africa

Venue: Bernard Sunley room D
Chair: F Booysen.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

S Freire

HIV/AIDS, funeral costs and saving behaviour: Theory and evidence from South Africa

D de Walque

PDF, 144kB

F Booysen

Poverty, HIV/AIDS-related Morbidity and Mortality, and Social Safety Nets: Evidence from the Free State Province

S van der Berg

PDF, 823kB

F Marzo

The impact of HIV/AIDS on chronic and transient poverty

D de Walque

PDF, 418kB

1(m) The macroeconomic effects of aid

Venue: Mary Sunley Lecture Theatre
Chair: O Morrissey

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

M Opoku-Afari, O Morrissey, T Lloyd

Real Exchange Rate Response to Aid Inflows: A Dynamic Analysis for Ghana

F Teal

PDF, 477kB

B Ouattara

Aid inflows and domestic savings in Cote d'Ivoire

J Levin

PDF, 148kB

D M`Amanja O Morrissey

Fiscal aggregates, aid and growth in Kenya: A Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Analysis

F Teal

PDF, 351kB

C Adam, D Bevan

Aid, growth and income distribution in the presence of public and private spillovers.

O Morrissey

PDF, 231kB

1(p) Poverty and welfare

Venue: Bernard Sunley room A
Chair: G Kingdon.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

A Dabalen, S Paternostro, G Pierre

The returns to participation in the non-farm sector in rural Rwanda

G Kingdon

PDF, 139kB

R Razafindralambo, B Minten

Poverty and household water demand

J Kühl

PDF, 299kB

C Muller, S Bibi

Focused targeting against poverty

G Kingdon

 

N Pouw

Food priorities and poverty in Uganda

J Kühl

PDF, 624kB

1(r) Shocks and welfare

Venue: Bernard Sunley room C
Chair: A Kedir.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

T Mogues

Shocks, Livestock Asset Dynamics and Social Capital in Ethiopia

 

PDF 297kB

T S Jayne, T Yamano

Measuring the impacts of prime-age adult mortality on rural households in Kenya

 

PDF, 279kB

X Zhang

Security is like oxygen: Evidence from income dynamics in Uganda

 

PDF, 221kB

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Session Two

2(a) Agrarian institutions

Venue: Mary Sunley Lecture Theatre
Chair: U Osili.

Authors (Presenters in bold)Kathleen Beegle

Paper title

Discussant

File available

J-P Platteau

Heterogeneous loyalties and collective action: Micro-evidence from Senegal

U Osili

PDF, 314kB

M Vigneri, F Teal

Production changes in Ghana cocoa farming households under market reforms

K Leonard

PDF, 190kB

M Tikabo

Factor market imperfections and the land rental market in the highlands of Eritrea: Theory and evidence

K Leonard

PDF, 313kB

T Bernard, E Sadoulet, A de Janvry

Social Resistance to Institutional Change: Explaining the Emergence of Differentiating Organizations in Rural Senegal

U Osili

PDF, 277kB

2(f) Credit and finance

Venue: Bernard Sunley Lecture Theatre
Chair: W Naudé.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

J Habyarimana

The benefits of banking relationships: Evidence from Uganda`s banking crisis

M Söderbom

PDF, 507kB

P Mpuga

Demand for credit in rural Uganda: Who cares for agricultural producers?

W Naudé

PDF, 646kB

S Jain, M Raturi

Ethnic networks and the financing of investment: Theory and evidence from Kenyan firms

M Söderbom

Microsoft Word, 158kB

M Pagura

Examining client exit in microfinance: A conceptual model and empirical results in a Malian setting

W Naudé

PDF, 442kB

2(h) HIV/AIDS in Africa

Venue: Bernard Sunley room D
Chair: M Gersovitz.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

A Bhargava

AIDS epidemic and the psychological well-being and school participation of Ethiopian orphans

F Booysen

 

S McDonald, S Dixon, J Roberts

AIDS in Botswana: Evaluating the general equilibrium implications of healthcare interventions

O Morrissey

PDF, 336kB

D de Walque

How does the impact of an HIV/AIDS information campaign vary with educational attainment? Evidence from rural Uganda

F Booysen

PDF, 586kB

2(m) Growth and public spending

Venue: Bernard Sunley room C
Chair: T Owens.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

O Olsson

Institutional investment and growth in post-independence Africa

 

PDF, 275kB

CG Tsangarides, D Ghura, CA Leite

Is growth enough? Macroeconomic policy and poverty reduction

 

PDF, 457kB

B F Aka

Fiscal adjustment, poverty, inequality and welfare in Côte d'Ivoire: A CGE model analysis

 

PDF, 505kB

H Lofgren, S Robinson

Public spending, growth, and poverty alleviation in sub-Saharan Africa: A dynamic general equilibrium analysis (Revised May 21,2004)

 

PDF, 323kB

2(p) Rural poverty, isolation, and the environment

Venue: Bernard Sunley room A
Chair: K Simler.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

S Elsheikh Abdelrhman

Tenant households and poverty in the Gezira irrigated area, Sudan: Analysis and implications

C Muller

PDF, 457kB

D Gbetnkom

Deforestation in Cameroon and poverty in the rural zone

C Muller

PDF, 261kB

R Vargas Hill, M Fafchamps

Selling at the farm Gate or travelling to market

C Vermeersch

PDF, 327kB

S Ambec, L Hotte

On the redistributive impacts of privatizing a natural resource under imperfect enforcement

C Vermeersch

PDF, 176kB

2(r) Risk and vulnerability

Venue: Mary Sunley Discussion Room
Chair: D Gollin.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

C Doss, J McPeak, C Barrett

Perceptions of risk within pastoralist households in Northern Kenya and Southern Ethiopia

M Fafchamps

PDF, 322kB

J Kühl

Disaggregating household vulnerability – analyzing fluctuations in consumption using a simulation approach

D Gollin

PDF, 307kB

H Kazianga, C Udry

Consumption smoothing and livestock in West Africa

D Gollin

PDF, 308kB

A Kedir, S Girma

Uncovering food security through the estimation of quadratic food engel curves with measurement error: Evidence from a budget survey

M Fafchamps

PDF, 434kB

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Session Three

3(f) Panel and time-series analysis of growth

Venue: Bernard Sunley room A
Chair: J-C Berthelemy.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

R Okoh

Global integration and the growth of Nigeria's non-oil exports

N Rankin

PDF, 287kB

M Alsop, F Teal

Income, productivity and inequality: Some new evidence

S Freire

PDF, 519kB

M A Rakotoarisoa, S Henneberry, S Shapouri

The impacts of human capital accumulation and allocation on manufacturing value-added in selected African countries

S Freire

PDF, 239kB

N Ousmanou

Exports and economics growth in sub-Saharan Africa: Is there a connection?

N Rankin

PDF,256 kB

3(m) The policy environment for development

Venue: Bernard Sunley room D
Chair: C Adam.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

J Aron, J Muellbauer

Forecasting the sub-components of the consumer price index in South Africa

C Bowdler

PDF, 566kB

M Aziakpono

Financial intermediation and economic growth in economic integration: The case of SACU

 

PDF, 349kB

J Bennett, S Estrin

Private provision of basic infrastructure in developing economies

 

 

A Hoeffler, P Collier Murder by Numbers: Socio-Economic Determinants of Homicide and Civil War   PDF, 101kB

3(p) The measurement of poverty

Venue: Bernard Sunley room C
Chair: S Younger.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

K Simler, S Harrower, C Massingerela

Estimating poverty indices using simple indicator surveys

S Younger

PDF, 221kB

S Bibi

Comparing multidimensional poverty between Egypt and Tunisia

S Younger

PDF, 219kB

3(r) Crime and insecurity

Venue: Mary Sunley Lecture Theatre
Chair: L Hotte.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

N Powdthavee

Unhappiness and crime: Evidence from South Africa

S Pezzini

PDF, 157kB

M Fafchamps, B Minten

Crime, Poverty, and Isolation: Evidence from Madagascar

M Tenikue

PDF, 863kB

L Hotte, F Valognes, T van Ypersele

Property crime with private protection: A market-for-offenses approach

J-P Azam

PDF, 245kB

G Demonbynes, B Ozler

Crime and local inequality in South Africa

A Hoeffler

PDF, 689kB

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Session Four

4(a) Child labour and welfare

Venue: Mary Sunley Discussion Room
Chair: C Doss.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

C Dumas

Why do parents make their children work?

C Doss

PDF, 277kB

K Beegle, R Dehejia, R Gatti

Child labour, crop shocks, and credit constraints

C Doss

PDF, 326kB

I Aomar, M Sandbaek

Micro econometric analysis of child's labour determinants in Morocco and the extent of non governmental organisations (ONG) involvement in non-formal education

 

 

4(f) Firms and manufacturing

Venue: Bernard Sunley room C
Chair: S Dercon.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

B Minten, K Sander

Determinants of success in illegal trade

S Dercon

 

G Frazer

Which Firms Die?: A Look at Exit from Manufacturing in Ghana

S Dercon

PDF, 638kB

M Söderbom

Survival and success among African manufacturing firms

A Kedir

PDF, 631kB

A Mbaye

An industry level analysis of manufacturing productivity in Senegal

A Kedir

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4(h) Access to health care and human capital development

Venue: Bernard Sunley room D
Chair: G Kingdon.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

T Osborne

Health and "poverty traps" in rural developing economies

C Calvo

PDF, 641kB

M Frölich, K Michaelowa

School textbooks and peer effects: Efficient allocation of textbooks

P Serneels

 

K Leonard, D H Mariam

Learning about unobservable quality: Empirical evidence from choice of health facilities in Tanzania

P Serneels

PDF, 340kB

J N Binam

Estimating the willingness to pay for community health prepayment schemes in rural area: A case study of the use of contingent valuation surveys in central Cameroon

C Calvo

PDF, 254kB

4(m) Taxation and decentralization

Venue: Mary Sunley Lecture Theatre
Chair: F Teal.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

I Faye

Local governance and the provision of public goods: Improving the impact of decentralization on local participation and poverty in rural Uganda

O Olsson

PDF, 669kB

D Gollin

Should governments finance social spending through taxes on large firms? Evidence from Ghana

O Olsson

PDF, 291kB

B Gauthier, J-P Azam, J Goyette

The effects of fiscal policy and corruption control mechanisms on firm growth and social welfare: Theory and evidence

O Olsson

PDF, 460kB

4(p) Poverty dynamics

Venue: Bernard Sunley room A
Chair: R Vargas Hill.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

R Burger, S van der Berg, S Nieftagodien

Consumption patterns of South Africa’s rising black middle-class: Correcting for measurement errors

R Vargas Hill

PDF, 423kB

B Alayande

A quantitative and quantitative assessment of vulnerability to poverty in Nigeria

T Owens

PDF, 373kB

F M Baye

Non-parametric estimates of poverty lines: Measuring rural-urban contributions to poverty changes in Cameroon

TOwens

PDF, 338kB

S Younger

Growth and poverty reduction in Uganda, 1992-1999: A multidimensional analysis of changes in living standards

R Vargas Hill

PDF, 426kB

4(r) Insurance, networks, and the family

Venue: Bernard Sunley Lecture Theatre
Chair: T Bold.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

Z Wahhaj

Testing a theory of limited insurance among couples in Southern Ghana

S Ambec

PDF, 168kB

D Mather, C Donovan, M Weber, H Marrule

Household responses to prime age adult mortality in rural Mozambique: Implications for HIV/AIDS mitigation efforts and rural economic development policies

T Bold

PDF, 214kB

E Sciubba, P Krishnan

Endogenous network formation and informal institutions in rural economies

S Ambec

 

M Dekker

Risk sharing in rural Zimbabwe: An empirical analysis of endogenous network formation

T Bold

PDF, 218kB

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Session Five

5(a) Spatial issues and international trade

Venue: Mary Sunley Discussion Room
Chair: K Gyimah-Brempong.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

C Sdralevich, M Piazza

Trade capacity and product differentiation in export diversification strategies for SSA countries

H Lofgren

PDF, 265kB

WA Naudé, T Gries

The economic geography and determinants of manufacturing exports from South Africa

M Alsop

PDF, 115kB

W A Naudé, W Krugell

The spatial dimensions of economic growth in Africa: The case of sub-national convergence or divergence in South Africa

M Alsop

PDF, 161kB

G Niyongabo

Trade openness, growth and divergence in sub- Saharan Africa

H Lofgren

PDF, 627kB

5(f) Labour and demographic issues

Venue: Bernard Sunley room C
Chair: F Teal.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

P Serneels, A Barr

Wages and reciprocity in the workplace

 

PDF, 244kB

K Cornwell, B Inder

Unemployment and migration in South Africa: When motivation surpasses the theory

F Teal

PDF, 622kB

U O Osili, B T Long

Universal education and fertility: A Nigerian experiment

 

PDF, 975kB

A B Aromolaran

Female schooling, non-market productivity, and labor market participation in Nigeria

F Teal

PDF, 455kB

5(h) Access to education

Venue: Bernard Sunley room D
Chair: M Söderbom.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

D Evans, E Miguel

Orphans and Schooling in Africa: A Longitudinal Analysis

 

PDF, 533kB

J-C Berthelemy

To what extent are African education policies pro-poor?

 

PDF, 260kB

A Bedi

Attending school, two "Rs" and child work in rural Ethiopia

P Krishnan

PDF, 744kB

S Gormly, K Swinnerton

The effect of adult returns to schooling on children’s school enrolment in South Africa

P Krishnan

PDF, 746kB

5(m) Corruption and governance

Venue: Bernard Sunley Lecture Theatre
Chair: J Robinson.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

S Khemani

Local government accountability of basic services in Nigeria

 

PDF, kB

JJ Quinn

The effects of majority state ownership of industry or mining on corruption: A cross-regional comparison

L Hotte

PDF, 291kB

L Wantchekon

Ethnicity, gender, and demand for public goods: Experimental evidence from Benin

L Hotte

PDF, kB

J Svensson, R Reinikka

The power of information: Evidence from a newspaper campaign to reduce capture

 

PDF,414 kB

5(p) Growth and poverty reduction in Ethiopia

Venue: Bernard Sunley room A
Chair: T Osborne.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

L Christiansen, M Ravillon (B Ozler)

Chronically poor areas of Ethiopia: Is resettlement the answer?

T Osborne

 

B Kebede

Administrative allocation and distribution of land in Ethiopia: 1995-97

T Osborne

PDF, 1.32MB

S Dercon

Agriculture, growth and poverty reduction in Ethiopia

J Habyarimana

 

5(r) Subjective well-being

Venue: Mary Sunley Lecture Theatre
Chair: F Roubaud.

Authors (Presenters in bold)

Paper title

Discussant

File available

M Razafindrakoto, F Roubaud

Subjective perception of poverty in urban sub-saharan Africa

F Stewart

 

J Herrera, M Razafindrakoto, F Roubaud

A comparative analysis of the determinants of subjective welfare. The case of Madagascar and Peru

 

 

M Lokshin, N Umapathi, S Paternostro

Robustness of subjective welfare analysis in a poor developing country: Madagascar 2001

 

 

G Kingdon, J Knight

Community, Comparisons and Subjective Well-being in a Divided Society

F Stewart

 

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